Skäggmodet kulminerar 2020?

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Bli inte förvånade om skäggmodet når sin kulmen någon gång kring 2020. Det finns det nämligen forskning som stödjer.

londonillustratednewsJa, jag är medveten om att jag tar i från tårna här och det finns anledning att ta profetian med en rejäl nypa salt, men helt taget ur luften är det inte. Hear me out.

Vi fick tips om en undersökning i American Journal of Sociology från början av 80-talet (tack Christian). Dwight E Robinson ville undersöka modets svängningar och räknade helt enkelt håriga ansikten i den brittiska tidskriften Illustrated London News mellan 1842 och 1972. Han kom bland annat fram till följande:

1840 hade 10 procent av alla män någon form av ansiktsbehåring. Kring 1890 nådde skägget sin kulmen och pryddes av omkring 45 procent av männen i tidningen. 1960 var siffran noll.

skaggpeakRobinson jämför med en tidigare studie som gjorts på vidden på kvinnors kjolar och som tjänat som guide och inspiration till skäggstudien. Den studien är gjord under ungefär samma tidsperiod och det är intressant att jämföra kjol- och skäggkurvorna som visar liknande mönster. En uppgång på omkring femtio år och en cykel på drygt 100 år.

Om man då tar den lilla uppsvängning som skägget börjar göra i mitten av 60-talet som bevis för att det var då den senaste cykeln av skäggig tillväxt inleddes, med en dipp på 80-talet inte olik den man ser kring 1850 i diagrammet, så borde nästa skäggiga peak ha inträffat typ 2012. Men nu vet vi ju inte hur skäggtillväxten såg ut innan Robinson började mäta 1942 – tillväxtcykeln kanske i själva verket är sextio år. För att kompensera för detta höftar jag lite och justerar kulmen till 2020. Lite oroande, javisst, men skägget kommer inte försvinna över en natt. Samma studie visar också att det tar ungefär 30 år från kulmen till att ett mode är helt ute.

Nu kanske man inte kan ta en enskild brittisk tidning som mestadels visar unga män ur de övre samhällsskikten som bevis, men håll med om att det är en kittlande tanke! Man undrar ju hur det hade sett ut om Robinson fortsatt mäta fram till idag. Tyvärr gick Illustrated London News över från veckoutgivning till månadsutgivning 1971. Från 1989 gavs den ut varannan månad och från 1994 till 2003 när den lades ner gavs den ut två gånger om året, så det hade blivit ett ganska magert underlag. Tänk om det finns någon annan någonstans som gjort en liknande undersökning? Annars har alla hugade forskare här ett lysande uppslag!

(En rolig bihistoria är studien så tydligt visar hur King Camp Gilette, som uppfann säkerhetsrakhyveln och det utbytbara rakbladet i början av 1900-talet, snarare red på en redan existerande anti-skägg-trend än skapade det skägglösa 1900-talet som han ofta får äran för. Vi har varit inne på det i Skäggboken, men i Robinsons studie syns det tydligt hur skägget varit på tillbakagång i 30 år när Gilette fick sin snilleblixt.)

 

26 reaktion på “Skäggmodet kulminerar 2020?

  1. Jochen Klug

    Tror det går snabbare än så, cyklerna är kortare nu för tiden. Tycker mig redan se en nedgång i intresse.

  2. Karl

    Jag tillhör den lilla skara som började odla skägg på 60-talet. Men de jag känner, som också började då, har alla kvar sina skägg. Så jag tror nog att merparten av dagens skägg kommer att finnas kvar 2020, om än i annan kulör. Kanske grått eller vitt som mitt.

  3. Tommi Bing

    Är ledsen grabbar men ser inte längre någon anledning att besöka denna en gång så roliga blogg. Förstår att det är tidskrävande men lägger man inte ner tillräckligt mycket tid på något så blir det sällan bra. Anser att en riktigt bra skäggbloggen behövs och ni har gjort ett riktigt bra jobb men det börjar dala nu. Ciao!

  4. Axel Naver

    Hej Tommi! Tack för att du tycker att vi har gjort ett bra jobb. Hoppas att du kan ha tålamod och återkomma till bloggen – Skäggbloggen försvinner inte, men det händer i perioder att tempot saktar ner.

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